Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 11:53 AM, 199 voters in 27 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 188,818 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 156,622 - 231,103). In addition, 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 11:53 AM 2629 c(2.5% = 2281) c(97.5% = 2830)
02 11:53 AM 4325 c(2.5% = 3748) c(97.5% = 4613)
03 11:53 AM 2389 c(2.5% = 1882) c(97.5% = 2958)
04 11:53 AM 2391 c(2.5% = 1842) c(97.5% = 3078)
05 11:53 AM 6446 c(2.5% = 5484) c(97.5% = 6969)
06 11:53 AM 1626 c(2.5% = 1351) c(97.5% = 1987)
07 11:53 AM 1596 c(2.5% = 938) c(97.5% = 2598)
08 11:53 AM 5913 c(2.5% = 5149) c(97.5% = 6500)
09 11:53 AM 2789 c(2.5% = 2412) c(97.5% = 3182)
10 11:53 AM 3467 c(2.5% = 2863) c(97.5% = 4257)
11 11:53 AM 1513 c(2.5% = 1142) c(97.5% = 1984)
12 11:53 AM 2624 c(2.5% = 2103) c(97.5% = 3294)
13 11:53 AM 2357 c(2.5% = 1861) c(97.5% = 3007)
14 11:53 AM 1052 c(2.5% = 895) c(97.5% = 1256)
15 11:53 AM 3085 c(2.5% = 2732) c(97.5% = 3385)
16 11:53 AM 1267 c(2.5% = 914) c(97.5% = 1711)
17 11:53 AM 2895 c(2.5% = 2285) c(97.5% = 3645)
18 11:53 AM 2686 c(2.5% = 2297) c(97.5% = 3001)
19 11:53 AM 1186 c(2.5% = 750) c(97.5% = 1802)
20 11:53 AM 1204 c(2.5% = 893) c(97.5% = 1629)
21 11:53 AM 6937 c(2.5% = 5793) c(97.5% = 8002)
22 11:53 AM 3716 c(2.5% = 3259) c(97.5% = 4470)
23 11:53 AM 2225 c(2.5% = 1639) c(97.5% = 2888)
24 11:53 AM 1914 c(2.5% = 1543) c(97.5% = 2367)
25 11:53 AM 1843 c(2.5% = 1273) c(97.5% = 2425)
26 11:53 AM 2653 c(2.5% = 2200) c(97.5% = 3024)
27 11:53 AM 3560 c(2.5% = 2503) c(97.5% = 4283)
28 11:53 AM 1345 c(2.5% = 977) c(97.5% = 1814)
29 11:53 AM 1369 c(2.5% = 1123) c(97.5% = 1659)
30 11:53 AM 2783 c(2.5% = 2522) c(97.5% = 3004)
31 11:53 AM 2359 c(2.5% = 1917) c(97.5% = 2562)
32 11:53 AM 2255 c(2.5% = 1671) c(97.5% = 3013)
33 11:53 AM 1891 c(2.5% = 1174) c(97.5% = 2871)
34 11:53 AM 4997 c(2.5% = 4137) c(97.5% = 6039)
35 11:53 AM 3412 c(2.5% = 2519) c(97.5% = 4418)
36 11:53 AM 4111 c(2.5% = 3496) c(97.5% = 4807)
37 11:53 AM 1446 c(2.5% = 1032) c(97.5% = 1980)
38 11:53 AM 2512 c(2.5% = 2097) c(97.5% = 3000)
39 11:53 AM 5109 c(2.5% = 4268) c(97.5% = 5810)
40 11:53 AM 5242 c(2.5% = 4220) c(97.5% = 6553)
41 11:53 AM 2033 c(2.5% = 1384) c(97.5% = 2717)
42 11:53 AM 2616 c(2.5% = 1885) c(97.5% = 3595)
43 11:53 AM 2020 c(2.5% = 1367) c(97.5% = 2943)
44 11:53 AM 1610 c(2.5% = 1239) c(97.5% = 2070)
45 11:53 AM 2325 c(2.5% = 1684) c(97.5% = 3018)
46 11:53 AM 3094 c(2.5% = 2844) c(97.5% = 3557)
47 11:53 AM 993 c(2.5% = 796) c(97.5% = 1251)
48 11:53 AM 2338 c(2.5% = 1890) c(97.5% = 2896)
49 11:53 AM 2916 c(2.5% = 2316) c(97.5% = 3749)
50 11:53 AM 4063 c(2.5% = 3497) c(97.5% = 4967)
51 11:53 AM 2609 c(2.5% = 2102) c(97.5% = 3350)
52 11:53 AM 3213 c(2.5% = 2645) c(97.5% = 3832)
53 11:53 AM 2309 c(2.5% = 1623) c(97.5% = 3044)
54 11:53 AM 1667 c(2.5% = 1067) c(97.5% = 2326)
55 11:53 AM 2645 c(2.5% = 1836) c(97.5% = 3521)
56 11:53 AM 3879 c(2.5% = 2921) c(97.5% = 4934)
57 11:53 AM 3389 c(2.5% = 2648) c(97.5% = 4188)
58 11:53 AM 5683 c(2.5% = 4323) c(97.5% = 7111)
59 11:53 AM 2815 c(2.5% = 2308) c(97.5% = 3448)
60 11:53 AM 2231 c(2.5% = 1797) c(97.5% = 2757)
61 11:53 AM 3476 c(2.5% = 2817) c(97.5% = 4376)
62 11:53 AM 2486 c(2.5% = 1646) c(97.5% = 3398)
63 11:53 AM 3214 c(2.5% = 2658) c(97.5% = 3864)
64 11:53 AM 1802 c(2.5% = 1319) c(97.5% = 2341)
65 11:53 AM 2640 c(2.5% = 2116) c(97.5% = 3273)
66 11:53 AM 5633 c(2.5% = 4449) c(97.5% = 6956)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76
10:52 AM 1717 90
10:52 AM 1717 90
7:30 AM 1802 38
10:50 AM 2706 156
10:45 AM 2713 96
10:02 AM 4622 131
11:00 AM 2707 86
11:11 AM 3103 151
11:10 AM 3113 101
8:30 AM 0201 103
8:40 AM 0824 57
11:07 AM 6008 67
8:00 AM 4601 37
11:00 AM 2208 91
9:00 AM 0822 1
11:00 AM 2101 131
10:00 AM 0101 79
10:00 AM 0102 90
10:00 AM 0103 136
10:00 AM 0104 92
10:00 AM 0105 45
10:00 AM 0106 93
10:00 AM 0107 40
10:00 AM 0108 89
10:00 AM 0109 83
10:00 AM 0110 104
10:00 AM 0111 86
10:00 AM 0112 69
10:00 AM 0113 122
10:00 AM 0114 85
10:00 AM 0115 139
10:00 AM 0116 68
10:00 AM 0117 79
10:00 AM 0118 121
10:00 AM 0119 75
10:00 AM 0120 106
10:00 AM 0121 130
11:17 AM 3943 119
11:00 AM 1811 150
11:18 AM 4701 135
11:00 AM 3103 5
11:15 AM 0526 175
11:00 AM 5904 142
8:30 AM 0504 105
11:22 AM 1503 156
9:02 AM 0120 63
8:10 AM 0819 60
11:29 AM 0213 47
9:15 AM 0904 69
11:30 AM 3914 140
11:30 AM 4920 110
10:00 AM 3945 156
11:00 AM 0102 111
11:00 AM 0108 105
11:00 AM 0109 89
11:00 AM 0107 54
11:30 AM 0833 124
11:00 AM 0104 120
7:50 AM 4622 31
11:00 AM 0105 47
11:30 AM 1810 140
11:39 AM 0834 106
11:32 AM 0116 99
11:43 AM 0537 122
11:43 AM 0501 99
11:45 AM 2702 88
11:40 AM 4808 118
11:53 AM 0528 194
11:45 AM 1815 121
11:45 AM 1816 192
11:45 AM 1817 193
11:45 AM 0217 111

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions