Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker
Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
Live Results
As of 11:53 AM, 199 voters in 27 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 188,818 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 156,622 - 231,103). In addition, 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 89,200 are still outstanding.
Maps
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)
In-Person Turnout
Mail-In Requests
Mail-In Ballots Returned
Raw Responses (for debugging)
Submissions
Data Tables
For those of you who like tables with numbers. 
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 11:53 AM | 2629 |
c(2.5% = 2281)
|
c(97.5% = 2830)
|
| 02 | 11:53 AM | 4325 |
c(2.5% = 3748)
|
c(97.5% = 4613)
|
| 03 | 11:53 AM | 2389 |
c(2.5% = 1882)
|
c(97.5% = 2958)
|
| 04 | 11:53 AM | 2391 |
c(2.5% = 1842)
|
c(97.5% = 3078)
|
| 05 | 11:53 AM | 6446 |
c(2.5% = 5484)
|
c(97.5% = 6969)
|
| 06 | 11:53 AM | 1626 |
c(2.5% = 1351)
|
c(97.5% = 1987)
|
| 07 | 11:53 AM | 1596 |
c(2.5% = 938)
|
c(97.5% = 2598)
|
| 08 | 11:53 AM | 5913 |
c(2.5% = 5149)
|
c(97.5% = 6500)
|
| 09 | 11:53 AM | 2789 |
c(2.5% = 2412)
|
c(97.5% = 3182)
|
| 10 | 11:53 AM | 3467 |
c(2.5% = 2863)
|
c(97.5% = 4257)
|
| 11 | 11:53 AM | 1513 |
c(2.5% = 1142)
|
c(97.5% = 1984)
|
| 12 | 11:53 AM | 2624 |
c(2.5% = 2103)
|
c(97.5% = 3294)
|
| 13 | 11:53 AM | 2357 |
c(2.5% = 1861)
|
c(97.5% = 3007)
|
| 14 | 11:53 AM | 1052 |
c(2.5% = 895)
|
c(97.5% = 1256)
|
| 15 | 11:53 AM | 3085 |
c(2.5% = 2732)
|
c(97.5% = 3385)
|
| 16 | 11:53 AM | 1267 |
c(2.5% = 914)
|
c(97.5% = 1711)
|
| 17 | 11:53 AM | 2895 |
c(2.5% = 2285)
|
c(97.5% = 3645)
|
| 18 | 11:53 AM | 2686 |
c(2.5% = 2297)
|
c(97.5% = 3001)
|
| 19 | 11:53 AM | 1186 |
c(2.5% = 750)
|
c(97.5% = 1802)
|
| 20 | 11:53 AM | 1204 |
c(2.5% = 893)
|
c(97.5% = 1629)
|
| 21 | 11:53 AM | 6937 |
c(2.5% = 5793)
|
c(97.5% = 8002)
|
| 22 | 11:53 AM | 3716 |
c(2.5% = 3259)
|
c(97.5% = 4470)
|
| 23 | 11:53 AM | 2225 |
c(2.5% = 1639)
|
c(97.5% = 2888)
|
| 24 | 11:53 AM | 1914 |
c(2.5% = 1543)
|
c(97.5% = 2367)
|
| 25 | 11:53 AM | 1843 |
c(2.5% = 1273)
|
c(97.5% = 2425)
|
| 26 | 11:53 AM | 2653 |
c(2.5% = 2200)
|
c(97.5% = 3024)
|
| 27 | 11:53 AM | 3560 |
c(2.5% = 2503)
|
c(97.5% = 4283)
|
| 28 | 11:53 AM | 1345 |
c(2.5% = 977)
|
c(97.5% = 1814)
|
| 29 | 11:53 AM | 1369 |
c(2.5% = 1123)
|
c(97.5% = 1659)
|
| 30 | 11:53 AM | 2783 |
c(2.5% = 2522)
|
c(97.5% = 3004)
|
| 31 | 11:53 AM | 2359 |
c(2.5% = 1917)
|
c(97.5% = 2562)
|
| 32 | 11:53 AM | 2255 |
c(2.5% = 1671)
|
c(97.5% = 3013)
|
| 33 | 11:53 AM | 1891 |
c(2.5% = 1174)
|
c(97.5% = 2871)
|
| 34 | 11:53 AM | 4997 |
c(2.5% = 4137)
|
c(97.5% = 6039)
|
| 35 | 11:53 AM | 3412 |
c(2.5% = 2519)
|
c(97.5% = 4418)
|
| 36 | 11:53 AM | 4111 |
c(2.5% = 3496)
|
c(97.5% = 4807)
|
| 37 | 11:53 AM | 1446 |
c(2.5% = 1032)
|
c(97.5% = 1980)
|
| 38 | 11:53 AM | 2512 |
c(2.5% = 2097)
|
c(97.5% = 3000)
|
| 39 | 11:53 AM | 5109 |
c(2.5% = 4268)
|
c(97.5% = 5810)
|
| 40 | 11:53 AM | 5242 |
c(2.5% = 4220)
|
c(97.5% = 6553)
|
| 41 | 11:53 AM | 2033 |
c(2.5% = 1384)
|
c(97.5% = 2717)
|
| 42 | 11:53 AM | 2616 |
c(2.5% = 1885)
|
c(97.5% = 3595)
|
| 43 | 11:53 AM | 2020 |
c(2.5% = 1367)
|
c(97.5% = 2943)
|
| 44 | 11:53 AM | 1610 |
c(2.5% = 1239)
|
c(97.5% = 2070)
|
| 45 | 11:53 AM | 2325 |
c(2.5% = 1684)
|
c(97.5% = 3018)
|
| 46 | 11:53 AM | 3094 |
c(2.5% = 2844)
|
c(97.5% = 3557)
|
| 47 | 11:53 AM | 993 |
c(2.5% = 796)
|
c(97.5% = 1251)
|
| 48 | 11:53 AM | 2338 |
c(2.5% = 1890)
|
c(97.5% = 2896)
|
| 49 | 11:53 AM | 2916 |
c(2.5% = 2316)
|
c(97.5% = 3749)
|
| 50 | 11:53 AM | 4063 |
c(2.5% = 3497)
|
c(97.5% = 4967)
|
| 51 | 11:53 AM | 2609 |
c(2.5% = 2102)
|
c(97.5% = 3350)
|
| 52 | 11:53 AM | 3213 |
c(2.5% = 2645)
|
c(97.5% = 3832)
|
| 53 | 11:53 AM | 2309 |
c(2.5% = 1623)
|
c(97.5% = 3044)
|
| 54 | 11:53 AM | 1667 |
c(2.5% = 1067)
|
c(97.5% = 2326)
|
| 55 | 11:53 AM | 2645 |
c(2.5% = 1836)
|
c(97.5% = 3521)
|
| 56 | 11:53 AM | 3879 |
c(2.5% = 2921)
|
c(97.5% = 4934)
|
| 57 | 11:53 AM | 3389 |
c(2.5% = 2648)
|
c(97.5% = 4188)
|
| 58 | 11:53 AM | 5683 |
c(2.5% = 4323)
|
c(97.5% = 7111)
|
| 59 | 11:53 AM | 2815 |
c(2.5% = 2308)
|
c(97.5% = 3448)
|
| 60 | 11:53 AM | 2231 |
c(2.5% = 1797)
|
c(97.5% = 2757)
|
| 61 | 11:53 AM | 3476 |
c(2.5% = 2817)
|
c(97.5% = 4376)
|
| 62 | 11:53 AM | 2486 |
c(2.5% = 1646)
|
c(97.5% = 3398)
|
| 63 | 11:53 AM | 3214 |
c(2.5% = 2658)
|
c(97.5% = 3864)
|
| 64 | 11:53 AM | 1802 |
c(2.5% = 1319)
|
c(97.5% = 2341)
|
| 65 | 11:53 AM | 2640 |
c(2.5% = 2116)
|
c(97.5% = 3273)
|
| 66 | 11:53 AM | 5633 |
c(2.5% = 4449)
|
c(97.5% = 6956)
|
Raw Submissions
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
| 9:15 AM | 1802 | 73 |
| 9:24 AM | 2911 | 62 |
| 9:03 AM | 0229 | 95 |
| 9:23 AM | 0812 | 138 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3107 | 100 |
| 9:15 AM | 3639 | 86 |
| 9:15 AM | 0120 | 76 |
| 9:30 AM | 0308 | 109 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 9:25 AM | 3610 | 84 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:35 AM | 0817 | 107 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 8:00 AM | 0106 | 69 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 9:38 AM | 6008 | 49 |
| 9:30 AM | 3636 | 108 |
| 7:15 AM | 0114 | 9 |
| 9:46 AM | 3111 | 104 |
| 9:47 AM | 0204 | 72 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 9:55 AM | 0528 | 148 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 110 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 109 |
| 7:45 AM | 0517 | 35 |
| 9:58 AM | 3636 | 120 |
| 9:49 AM | 2212 | 74 |
| 8:00 AM | 0817 | 100 |
| 10:05 AM | 1503 | 129 |
| 10:02 AM | 0517 | 135 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:20 AM | 2217 | 17 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:40 AM | 2105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 97 |
| 9:40 AM | 0222 | 97 |
| 10:00 AM | 2622 | 82 |
| 10:03 AM | 3006 | 101 |
| 8:15 AM | 2619 | 77 |
| 10:02 AM | 0835 | 100 |
| 10:18 AM | 3104 | 156 |
| 10:20 AM | 4701 | 114 |
| 7:45 AM | 0516 | 41 |
| 10:18 AM | 0515 | 420 |
| 8:28 AM | 0516 | 70 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:15 AM | 3641 | 78 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:29 AM | 0509 | 188 |
| 10:30 AM | 1513 | 95 |
| 8:00 AM | 2113 | 13 |
| 10:39 AM | 0537 | 108 |
| 10:40 AM | 0501 | 75 |
| 10:15 AM | 3115 | 144 |
| 10:10 AM | 4603 | 60 |
| 9:45 AM | 1517 | 101 |
| 10:40 AM | 0206 | 115 |
| 10:42 AM | 0505 | 117 |
| 10:44 AM | 0834 | 93 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 10:45 AM | 0807 | 115 |
| 10:45 AM | 1503 | 147 |
| 10:45 AM | 0309 | 129 |
| 10:40 AM | 3629 | 76 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 7:30 AM | 1802 | 38 |
| 10:50 AM | 2706 | 156 |
| 10:45 AM | 2713 | 96 |
| 10:02 AM | 4622 | 131 |
| 11:00 AM | 2707 | 86 |
| 11:11 AM | 3103 | 151 |
| 11:10 AM | 3113 | 101 |
| 8:30 AM | 0201 | 103 |
| 8:40 AM | 0824 | 57 |
| 11:07 AM | 6008 | 67 |
| 8:00 AM | 4601 | 37 |
| 11:00 AM | 2208 | 91 |
| 9:00 AM | 0822 | 1 |
| 11:00 AM | 2101 | 131 |
| 10:00 AM | 0101 | 79 |
| 10:00 AM | 0102 | 90 |
| 10:00 AM | 0103 | 136 |
| 10:00 AM | 0104 | 92 |
| 10:00 AM | 0105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0106 | 93 |
| 10:00 AM | 0107 | 40 |
| 10:00 AM | 0108 | 89 |
| 10:00 AM | 0109 | 83 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 104 |
| 10:00 AM | 0111 | 86 |
| 10:00 AM | 0112 | 69 |
| 10:00 AM | 0113 | 122 |
| 10:00 AM | 0114 | 85 |
| 10:00 AM | 0115 | 139 |
| 10:00 AM | 0116 | 68 |
| 10:00 AM | 0117 | 79 |
| 10:00 AM | 0118 | 121 |
| 10:00 AM | 0119 | 75 |
| 10:00 AM | 0120 | 106 |
| 10:00 AM | 0121 | 130 |
| 11:17 AM | 3943 | 119 |
| 11:00 AM | 1811 | 150 |
| 11:18 AM | 4701 | 135 |
| 11:00 AM | 3103 | 5 |
| 11:15 AM | 0526 | 175 |
| 11:00 AM | 5904 | 142 |
| 8:30 AM | 0504 | 105 |
| 11:22 AM | 1503 | 156 |
| 9:02 AM | 0120 | 63 |
| 8:10 AM | 0819 | 60 |
| 11:29 AM | 0213 | 47 |
| 9:15 AM | 0904 | 69 |
| 11:30 AM | 3914 | 140 |
| 11:30 AM | 4920 | 110 |
| 10:00 AM | 3945 | 156 |
| 11:00 AM | 0102 | 111 |
| 11:00 AM | 0108 | 105 |
| 11:00 AM | 0109 | 89 |
| 11:00 AM | 0107 | 54 |
| 11:30 AM | 0833 | 124 |
| 11:00 AM | 0104 | 120 |
| 7:50 AM | 4622 | 31 |
| 11:00 AM | 0105 | 47 |
| 11:30 AM | 1810 | 140 |
| 11:39 AM | 0834 | 106 |
| 11:32 AM | 0116 | 99 |
| 11:43 AM | 0537 | 122 |
| 11:43 AM | 0501 | 99 |
| 11:45 AM | 2702 | 88 |
| 11:40 AM | 4808 | 118 |
| 11:53 AM | 0528 | 194 |
| 11:45 AM | 1815 | 121 |
| 11:45 AM | 1816 | 192 |
| 11:45 AM | 1817 | 193 |
| 11:45 AM | 0217 | 111 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions